Dogara defection plans on hold, over APC majority in the house

News can report that Speaker of the house of representatives Yakubu Dogara is at a crossroad as to what should be his next political step as the 2019 elections draws near.

Dogara who was expected to join the Senate President Bukola Saraki to defect to the main opposition Peoples Democratic Party may have put that decision on hold because the All Progressive Congress holds a reasonable majority in the house of representatives.
Investigations showed that a major concern in Dogara’s camp was what could be the likely result of the 2019 polls and which political party would assume majority control in the House.
One of his associates confided in SUNDAY PUNCH that Dogara loved to return next year to continue as the Speaker.

The source stated that to achieve his goal, the party with the majority would matter a lot to him.

The APC still controls the majority today with about 186 members as against PDP’s 162.

The source said, “In 2019, no one is sure how things will pan out. Dogara has less problems to contend with as a speaker today because he is still with the APC.

“No one is seriously demanding his resignation, neither is he facing any impeachment threat like the Senate President.

“The fear now is that if he hurriedly defects to the PDP to contest the election, his chances of returning as a speaker if the APC retains the majority become a tough call.

“On the other hand, if he remains in the APC to contest the election and the PDP captures the majority, it will be another problem for Dogara because the PDP, now hungry for power, will pick one of their own.

“A third option, which appears more appealing, is for him to stick with the APC, hoping it will retain the majority. He can then work across parties to get enough votes to remain the speaker.”

Investigations indicated that these permutations had been reviewed over and over lately in Dogara’s camp, a reason he had reportedly been unable to make up his mind.

But, another parliamentary aide pointed out that there was also uncertainty over the speaker’s return ticket in the APC, which the Bauchi State Governor, Mohammed Abubakar, had since allotted to his own candidate.

The Speaker is said to be very popular in his Tafawa-Balewa/Dass/Bogoro Federal Constituency and may easily win election on any platform.

Dogara had shunned the ward, local government and state congresses of the party in Bauchi State and only made a brief appearance at the national convention in Abuja, where his speech dwelt more on the alleged injustice in the APC. learnt from a reliable source that the APC, soon after Adams Oshiomhole emerged as the National Chairman, reportedly moved in to resolve the local dispute between Dogara and the governor.

This intervention was said to have been done to prevent Dogara’s defection and other defections from the APC like the 37 members, who moved to other parties last month.

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